‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: Hostilities on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Supplies.
The shockwaves of a war being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now reaching India's households.
As aerial attacks on Iran impede energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, stocks of cooking gas are shrinking across India, pushing restaurants to reduce offerings, reduce operating times and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing crowds outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies grow. Restaurant kitchens appear the most affected: the biggest crunch is in restaurant kitchens.
"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply isn't available," says a official of the National Restaurant Association of India.
Most restaurants run either on business-grade gas tanks or piped gas, and the lack of supply are now being felt across the country. "A lot of restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the south. People are adopting coal and wood and induction stoves to keep kitchens going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, local news say up to a significant portion of hospitality businesses are already operating at reduced capacity as commercial LPG supplies tighten. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some eateries say their fuel reserves have depleted with little backup. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and nothing else - it is extremely difficult. Businesses are going to suffer," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant managers are seeking alternatives. "Food options are being cut, some are skipping midday meals and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are changing as supplies come and go. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers report a increase in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Authority's View
Yet, the government states there is adequate supply.
India has more than 30 crore home fuel subscribers and spokespersons say stocks are being prioritized to households as geopolitical strain from the regional hostilities ripple through energy markets.
Roughly a majority of India's LPG is imported, and about 90% of those imports pass through the key maritime route, the vital passage now significantly disrupted by the war.
The petroleum ministry says that it directed refineries to boost LPG output for domestic use, lifting domestic production by about 25%. Non-domestic supply is being reserved for essential sectors such as medical and academic centers, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Some panic booking and stockpiling has been sparked by rumors. The normal delivery cycle for domestic LPG remains about 60 hours," says a ministry representative.
Spreading Anxiety
Now the anxiety is spreading beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of two-wheelers outside a fuel station. "Concern is genuine," the description reads.
According to analysis from industry analysts, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be exaggerated.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its petroleum. Around half of its petroleum shipments - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if petroleum transit through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the shortfall could be partly made up by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, increased Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, narrowing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
LPG: The Real Vulnerability
The real vulnerability is cooking gas, analysts say.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the Strait.
Refineries can modify output to extract a bit more LPG, but even a limited rise would only lift domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be moderately reduced through diversification. Refined product supply remains largely sufficient. Kitchen fuel stocks is the critical issue to monitor in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the concern on the ground is not just tight supply but patchy deliveries - and the familiar spectre of hoarding.
An industry representative states exploitative practices.
"Distributors are taking advantage of the situation - illegally trading canisters and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being hoarded and auctioned off."
For now, India's petroleum stocks may be cushioned by worldwide shipping. But in kitchens across the country, the more immediate question is simple: how to get the next gas canister.